KRALENDIJK – The likelihood of an above-normal hurricane season in the Atlantic region remains significant, according to the latest forecast from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The updated projections show slightly lower storm numbers than previously predicted, but the threat to the Caribbean region – including Bonaire – remains real.
According to NOAA, a total of 13 to 18 named storms are expected in 2025, with 5 to 9 developing into hurricanes. Of those hurricanes, an estimated 2 to 5 are projected to reach major hurricane status (category 3 or higher). This represents a slight adjustment from the earlier May forecast, which predicted 13 to 19 storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes, and 3 to 5 major hurricanes.
"As the Atlantic hurricane season approaches its historical peak, atmospheric and oceanic conditions continue to point to an above-normal season," NOAA stated.
Impact on the Caribbean Region
While Bonaire is rarely directly hit by hurricanes, severe storms at sea can indeed have indirect consequences for the island, such as high waves, heavy rainfall, and disruption of transportation and supply chains. Particularly for islands that depend on shipping and imports, like Bonaire, vigilance is warranted.
The chemical industry in the region and along the U.S. Gulf Coast, where many refineries are located, also traditionally prepares for temporary shutdowns when storm threats arise. This can have economic effects that are indirectly felt throughout the Caribbean.
Current Situation
Currently, there is one named storm active in the northern part of the Atlantic Ocean: Dexter. Additionally, two low-pressure systems are present in the area, but none of these systems currently pose a threat to land according to NOAA.
The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs until November 30, 2025.
