By Harald Linkels
It is certainly commendable that the Caribbean Netherlands Police Force (KPCN) is analyzing crime trends on Bonaire, St. Eustatius, and Saba. In a press release this past week, Police proudly announced that this time, the report was compiled by their ‘own’ KPCN analysts.
However, the analysis is riddled with inaccuracies and inconsistencies. The issues start with the title, Crime Analysis 2020 – 2024, yet no charts—except for population figures sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics—include data from 2024. The introduction clarifies that the study covers the period from January 1, 2020, to January 1, 2024, meaning no 2024 data was included. This makes the title misleading, as the report actually covers only the development between 2020 and 2023.
The report also presents contradictory findings. It claims that St. Eustatius’ population declined from 3,611 in 2011 to 3,204 in 2024—a drop of about 11%. Yet, in the traffic crime section on page 16, it states that an increase in accidents, both on Bonaire and St. Eustatius, is linked to among others population growth. While this may be true for Bonaire, it contradicts the reported population decline on St. Eustatius.
Further concerns arise regarding research methodology and the conclusions drawn. For example, in the Youth Crimesection on page 18, the report states: “According to one respondent, most youth involved in crime on Bonaire engage in drug use and sales, weapon possession, or sexual offenses.” Another statement claims that “an interview on St. Eustatius indicated that most youth there were involved in property crimes such as theft and fraud.” Additionally, the report mentions that the St. Eustatius Guardianship Council observed an increase in violent crime among youth, particularly among those aged 14 to 17, of Dominican and Guyanese nationalities.
These conclusions lack both quantitative and qualitative credibility. A serious report, especially one published under the name of KPCN, should not base sweeping statements on the account of a single respondent -whoever that person is.
Given these issues, it would be wise for KPCN leadership to thoroughly review the analysis to ensure its accuracy and credibility before it is taken seriously by stakeholders and the public.
After reading the report, I personally have my doubts.
